Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Cardpoint Regionals PTM
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 7.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.1% | +15.5 |
| Water Fractal | 7.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.6% | +3.5 |
| Wind Allies | 7.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.9% | -3.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.7% | -3.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 3.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.2 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Slimes | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.2 |
| Water Genbu | 3.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.0% | -6.7 |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Royal Oathguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lightweaver's Assault | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Camelot, Impenetrable | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |